Fantasy Football Panic or Dont Panic

 

Fantasy Football Panic or Dont Panic by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

It’s only Week 1 so I truly hope I’m re-tracking my “Panic’ players by Week 3- until then….

PANIC!

QBs

DEN QB Peyton Manning- I had a fantasy draft back in July ( A league we call the Summer League) and if I had seen Manning in preseason thru a crystal ball, I would not have drafted him- It pains me but he looks bad- Manning’s longest pass completion Week 1 was 18 yards

CAR Cam Newton- 18/31 for 175 yards and 1 TD- 1 INT- I don’t think he’ll recover from losing WR Kelvin Benjamin

BALT Joe Flacco- 18/32 for 117 yards and no TDs- He’ll only get better ( maybe) when WR B Perriman can get into the line up- He simply has no weapons except WR Steve Smith ( who will be run down by Week 7)

TB Jameis Winston- I’ve been warning fantasy owners about Winston since April

RBs

DET Joique Bell- The second Ameer Abdullah was selected in the draft, I knew Bell’s fantasy value was hurt, but I didn’t think it would be this bad

TB Doug Martin-One good preseason game and he’s resurrected- I didn’t buy it, and I won’t…not with a rookie QB ( esp Winston)

JACK T J Yeldon- 4.2 average Week 1 isn’t horrible, but I don’t see him getting into the end zone often- It’s also difficult for any JACK RB because the Jags are usually trailing-I’d be panicking if I drafted him

CAR Jonathon Stewart- He played in the final 10 games of 2015, and suddenly this guy is the Iron Man of the NFL?!? He only had 809 yards and 3 TDs in 2014. RB DeAngelo William’s departure doesn’t automatically make this RB great or durable.

OAK Latavius Murray- One game ( 11 for 44 yards ) I wouldn’t be panicking except, with QB D Carr’s current hand injury…yes…I am kinda panicking

WRs

CAR Devin Funchess- Caught 1-of-2 targets for 9 yards Week 1 against the Jaguars. Funchess’ missed target was a drop. playing #4 WR behind the likes of Corey Brown, Ted Ginn and Jericho Cotchery….I am ready to panic

SF Torrey Smith- During the preseason, I watched QB Colin Kaep ignore T Smith for most of the half they played together, and when he did look his way…it was usually a deep pass that missed badly. I thought T Smith would be nice value in Round 8-9ish….but it’s looking like a wasted one-

SD- Malcolm Floyd- I always say…”I’ll believe it when I see it”- Well I saw QB Rivers favor Stevie Johnson over Malcolm Floyd, at least in Week 1

TB Mike Evans- The fact that he’s not healthy is a double bad whammy- but #1 whammy is how bad his QB is ( Winston) and the how little they have played together

DEN Demaryius Thomas- As goes Peyton, so goes Demaryius- I’d would consider shopping this guy for a #1 RB, before other owners figure out how bad a season this could be for Denver- not quite panic but very close

NYG Odell Beckham- For whatever reason, it usually takes QB Eli Manning 6 weeks to get going- unfortunately fantasy owners have to be panicky for the next 5 weeks- another not quite panic but very close

TEs

BALT Maxx Williams- The #1 TE drafted in April, I really thought QB Flacco would like him and make Williams a huge part of the BALT offense- Not the case at all

 

DON’T PANIC!

QBs

IND Andrew Luck- You didn’t draft QB Luck to be the #11 overall QB ( Week 1 )- It will be better- the BUFF defense is going to make a lot of QBs look bad
SEA Russell Wilson- You didn’t draft QB Wilson to be the #9 overall QB ( Week 1 )- It will be better- the ST L defense is going to make a lot of QBs look bad

MIA Ryan Tannehill- I am not a fan of Tannehill, but he is consistent and even I expected more from him than 22/34 for 226 and 1 TD, especially against a porous WASH defense- He has JACK next week, but another away game ( then BUFF at home)- A LOT better schedule after Week 3

RBs

BUFF L McCoy- He needs to get healthy- LeSean McCoy (hamstring) said he is not “100 percent,” but he is “good enough to go out there and compete- His schedule gets easier so I am not panicking yet

MIA Lamar Miller- ( 13 carries for 53 yards) He had better games in the preseason in only a couple quarters played- This was just a bad game all around for the Dolphins

IND Frank Gore- 8 carries for 31 yards. The Colts know they didn’t use Gore enough. They are looking at tape from that game and saying “Never again!”

MINN  AP- For the record, AP has been a player that I had serious doubts would come out blazing – ARTICLE PEEK AT MOCK DRAFT–  that being said, he’s too talented not to get it going. He should be in top form by Week 3

WRs

GB Davante Adams- Only 4 catches for 59 yards. I saw WR Adams open many times in Week 1 vs Chicago, and QB A Rodgers will see how many times he should have looked his way- I’m not worried at all

N.O.Brandon Cooks- Facing a good defense like the Arizona Cardinals, 4 for 49 yards was not surprising. The Cards took Cooks out of the game. I am not worried going forward

KC Jeremy Maclin- TE T Kelce just had a his day, so don’t panic. Maclin is going to have bad weeks because of QB Alex Smith, but he’ll have good ones mixed in IF you can be patient

DET Calvin Johnson- Zero preseason snaps…the man is going to be slow getting into the swing of a full game. I’m not worried at all ( I am also not worries about Golden Tate- The Lions did plenty wrong in this game, but Tate will have huge games ahead)

TEs

IND D Allen- 3 catches for only 17 yards ( but he did have a TD, but not until the 4th qtr) The Colts didn’t use RB Gore enough, and the Colts didn’t use TE Allen enough and they lost- They will fix this

Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings 2015 By Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

Quarterback Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

 

1. Aaron Rodgers
2. Andrew Luck
3. Tony Romo
4. Peyton Manning
5. Matt Ryan
6. Tom Brady
7. Ben Roethlisberger
8. Drew Brees
9. Ryan Tannehill
10. Philip Rivers
11. Sam Bradford
12. Cam Newton
13. Matthew Stafford
14. Carson Palmer
15. Cam Newton

Running Back Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

 

1. Eddie Lacy
2. Jamaal Charles
3. Jeremy Hill
4. Lamar Miller
5. Adrian Peterson
6. Matt Forte
7. C J Anderson
8. Marshawn Lynch
9. DeMarco Murray
10. Mark Ingram
11. Chris Ivory
12. Justin Forsett
13. Jonathon Stewart
14. Frank Gore
15. Andre Ellington

Wide Receiver Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

 

1. Julio Jones
2. Dez Bryant
3. Antonio Brown
4. Calvin Johnson
5. A J Green
6. Randall Cobb- P
7. DeMaryius Thomas
8. Odell Beckham Jr
9. Jordan Matthews
10. Jarvis Landry
11. Brandon Cooks
12. T Y Hilton
13. DeAndre Hopkins
14. Amari Cooper
15. Devante Adams

Tight End Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

 

1. Gronk
2. Greg Olsen
3. Martellus Bennett
4. Jason Witten
5. Jimmy Graham
6. Jordan Cameron
7. Travis Kelce
8. Heath Miller
9. Delanie Walker
10. Benjamin Watson
11. Tyler Eifert
12. Dwayne Allen
13. Kyle Rudolph
14. Charles Clay
15. Richard Rodgers

Defense Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

 

1. Seattle Seahawks
2. Miami Dolphins
3. Cincinnati Bengals
4. New York Jets
5. Green Bay Packers
6. Indianapolis Colts
7. Tennessee Titans
8. Kansas City Chiefs
9. Tampa Bay Bucs
10. Minnesota Vikings
11. Carolina Panthers
12. Houston Texans
13. Baltimore Ravens
14. Dallas Cowboys
15. Arizona Cardinals

Start Em Sit Em Week 1

Start Em Sit Em Week 1 by Utter- fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

Like other fantasy prognosticators, below are my Start ‘ Em & Sit ‘ Em players, minus the obvious. ( No one needs to read that I think fantasy owners should start WR Julio Jones this week at home vs Philadelphia  ) For the Record- I don’t claim to have anymore insight on the games than the fantasy league owners reading these, but I do enjoy sharing my “IMOs” on them, as well as reading yours :) Good Luck this week!

Quarter Backs
Start ‘Em

Ben Roethlisberger (at NE ) – With RB LeVeon Bell on suspension, I doubt Pittsburgh will rely on a running game with DeAngelo Williams-  Big Ben will throw plenty in this one

Carson Palmer (vs N.O.) – The Saints defense looks like a team all beat up after playing for 15 weeks-  They haven’t played one yet and are in bad shape- Carson should pick them apart

Teddy Bridgewater (at SF ) – SF defense is in rebuilding mode, and DT Darnell Dockett was suppose to be part of that rebuilding but he was released- SF will #1 try to stop the run, so QB Bridgewater will get the passing game going and he has weapons

Running Backs
Start ‘Em

Chris Ivory (vs Cleveland) – All preseason new HC Todd Bowles was committed to the running game and committed to RB Ivory

Mark Ingram (at Arizona) – Despite losing defensive coordinator Todd Bowles to the Jets, Arizona is still formidable. Ingram however has been huge part of the passing game all preseason, so he will get 20 plus touches and satisfy fantasy owners against a stingy defense

Danny Woodhead (vs Detroit) –Although I like rookie RB Melvin Gordon this year, I do not think in Week One vs DET that he is going to be able to run it down their throats. An elusive Woodhead however might be able to get a bunch of yards slipping thru holes and catching screen passes- he’s been featured a lot throughout the preseason- good esp. in PPR

Dion Lewis (vs Pitt) – PPR leagues….with RB LeGarrett Blount out on a one week suspension, the Pats should use RB D Lewis a lot in the old “Shane Vereen” role ( Remember however- this is HC Bill Belichick and when it comes to RBs, he loves to stick to fantasy owners- This recommendation is for deep leagues)

Wide Receivers
Start ‘Em

John Brown (vs N.O.) – Saints defense stinks- esp after losing CJ Williams- K Lewis Out-A Spencer Out-Byrd-Browner hurt

Terrance Williams (vs NY Giants ) – When the Cowboys held Dez Bryant out of Dallas’ final two preseason games, cautious with his hamstring recovery, Williams shined- we don’t know how wealthy Dez is yet, so expect a big role from Williams Week 1

Markus Wheaton (vs New England) – WR Martavis Bryant is on suspension for 4 weeks, leaving the #2 WR all up to Wheaton- Roeth has been talking Wheaton up all preseason

Andre Johnson (at Buffalo) – Andre is SO happy to be a Colt and fantasy owners will be SO happy they drafted Andre

Amari Copper (vs Cincinnati) – I like Cooper in this game for simply the amount of targets I think he’ll get

Leaonard Hankerson (vs Philly) – WR Roddy White sat out the whole preseason with an elbow injury that he even had surgery on it- Hankerson will likely be the #2 WR in this game

Tight Ends
Start ‘Em

Jordan Cameron (at Washington ) – I didn’t like JACK spending all that money for TE Julius Thomas, but did like the Dolphins signing of Cameron- An exceptional athlete that could have a big day against a team that was vulnerable to TEs last year

Delanie Walker ( at Tampa Bay)- Rookie QB Marcus Mariota will need TE Walker as a safety valve all day- he’ll get receptions, but perhaps none in the end zone

Defense
Start ‘Em

Tennessee (at Tampa Bay ) – Even though they’ll have one on their side, the TENN defense will be chopping to bear down on a rookie QB

Kansas City (at Houston) – Hoyer is going to play better than most think, but in his first week, he’s going to make a few mistakes which the Chiefs will capitalize on

Indianapolis (at Buffalo) – The Colts offensive machine will rack up points, Buffalo will fall behind early and QB Tyrod Taylor will be forced to throw more than they want him to- with RB McCoy banged up, this could get ugly

 

Quarter Backs
Sit ‘Em

Kirk Cousins (vs Miami) – He’s the best QB on their roster, but such little time with the starters and the Miami defense fresh, and ready…. I don’t see a big day for Cousins Week 1

Eli Manning (at Dallas) – Eli has simply looked awful this preseason. Maybe he has a good game, but until I see one, I am starting my other QB

Colin Kaerpernick (vs Minnesota) – Exactly what I just wrote about Eli Manning- Kaep has simply looked awful this preseason. Maybe he has a good game, but until I see one, I am starting my other QB

Running Backs
Sit ‘Em

Alfred Morris (vs Miami ) – Although I like the hiring of Bill Callahan (the Dallas Cowboys offensive coordinator in 2014 who helped make DeMarco Murray the #1 RB that year)- Miami and N Suh will force new starting QB K Cousins to beat them thru the air

I Crowell (at NYJ) – I don’t like that Crowell is playing at the Jets and don’t like the Brown’s HC Pettine, because I seriously doubt he ever let’s any RB on the roster get 20 touches- He’ll rotate in backs all day, diluting all their value

Bishop Sankey (at Tampa Bay) – The Titans traded for RB Terrance West ( Cleveland ) but West likely won’t be active Week One- In the meantime, we have to watch Sankey do what he always does…..11 carries for 38 yards

Alfred Blue (vs Kansas City) – HC Bill O’Brien has been upset with this running game since training camp. RB Blue is the starter so he’ll get touches, but I would want other options this week

Wide Receivers
Sit ‘Em

Mike Evans (vs Tennessee ) – Crazy I know, sitting a talent like Mike Evans, but Evans (hamstring) was held out of Bucs practice on Monday and he’s had no time to work with a rookie QB

Torrey Smith (vs Minnesota) – WR Smith is only going to put big numbers for fantasy owners…if he can get deep and QB Kaep can get the ball to him- So far this preseason Kaep has missed badly every time. I’ll believe it when I see it

Emmanuel Sanders (vs Baltimore ) – Sanders hasn’t been in any preseason game, so if you think he can come in Week One and pick up exactly where he was last year, then start him. I’m going wait a week…at least

Tight Ends
Sit ‘Em

Jared Cook (vs Seattle) – I have no idea who Foles likes to throw to yet, and Rams TEs always disappoint until one fluke week where one goes crazy- 80 yards and 2 TDs- then become waiver wire favorites, then don’t touch the ball for 4-5 games

Ladarius Green ( vs Detroit)- I have never seen the same chemistry between Ladarius Green and QB Rivers….as QB Rivers has with TE Antonio Gates- It’s always going to happen, but never does- I’m looking else where

Defense
Sit ‘Em

Saints Defense (vs Arizona) – Too beat up to be considered

Washington ( vs Miami)- Last season Washington ranked 29th in defense, and was one of only 3 NFL teams “not” to score a defensive TD in any 2014 game- I don’t think they have gotten a lot better and I don’t think they will slow down Miami

10 NFL Players Difficult to Predict

10 NFL Players Difficult to Predict

by Utter-Fantasy writer & illustrator Doug Bowles

10 NFL Players Difficult to Predict

Players are tough enough to calculate, guesstimate and prognosticate for, when they are star veteran players returning to their team from the year before. When you get into the players, who have had injuries or who have moved to another team, figuring them out pre-draft can be challenging.

Here’s my 10 players that could be studs, or not studs…..in 2015

1) TE Jimmy Graham (SEA) – We know that the Seahawks are a run first team, which is the opposite of what Graham was used to in New Orleans. Additionally, Jimmy Graham has stated that he expects to be blocking 75 percent of the time in Seattle. He will definitely be a red zone target, but how much he’ll be used between the 20s is very hard to predict. Because of his amazing athletic talent, Utter- Fantasy ranks Graham as the #3 TE overall, but this will likely end up being way too high at the end of the season.

2) WR Sammy Watkins (BUFF) – QB E J Manuel has dropped down on the Buffalo depth chart to the #3 QB, leaving journeyman Matt Cassel as the starter. This shouldn’t give anyone a good feeling about Buffalo’s passing game in 2015. Watkins is a gifted freak, so he’ll be drafted early, just not by me.

3) RB Latavius Murray (OAK) – Everyone remembers his break out game vs KC last season  ( only 4 carries, 112 yards and 2 TDs) and everyone is excited for him too succeed. His next 4 games in 2014 however ( Weeks 14-17) were much quieter, not topping 86 yards in any of them, nor scoring any TDs. I want him on my fantasy teams for his potential, but I cannot use an early pick on Murray. It’s Oakland after all, but what helps is that he has very little competition ( his back ups are RBs Roy Helu and Trent “the Bust” Richardson)

4) RB Todd Gurley ST L) – HC Jeff Fisher is a smart guy. HC Jeff Fisher is a really smart guy, so if he says RB Gurley is a worth the Ram’s 1st Round pick, 10th pick overall, I have to trust that Gurley is the big time play maker like Fisher says he is. ( I thought the Rams had more pressing needs, rather than at running back) Gurley (ACL) will miss the “first couple games” of the season so he drops down on my draft board. ( For the record, WR O Beckham dropped off my draft board last year for the very same reason, and I missed out on him.)

5) Josh Hill (NO) – Word out of New Orleans is that Hill won’t be playing the same role in their offense as TE Jimmy Graham did. In the preseason opener, Hill played with the second-teamers, and is even listed behind TE Ben Watson on Saint’s depth chart. Hill has had a quiet camp and his role in the Saints’ offense has been downplayed by pretty much everyone covering the team. Once as high as #4 on Utter-Fantasy’s TE rankings, we got more conservative and rank him #8. We still like him as a 2015 TE Sleeper.

6) WR Brandon Marshall (NYJ) – QB Geno Smith took a right cross from a teammate and now he’s out for 6-10 weeks with a broken jaw. I am not glad his jaw is broken but I am glad that now QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is the undisputed starter because in my opinion, Fitz is a huge upgrade over Geno. Marshall’s fantasy stock rises considerably for me, but also is tougher now to predict, because before with Geno Smith as QB, I didn’t want Marshall at all.

7) RB Joique Bell (DET) – I participated in a fantasy draft back in June, and was pretty happy about my RB Joique Bell selection in Round 6. I can admit that am not as happy as I was. Bell is still recovering from an ankle injury (Achilles’) and says that he doesn’t know when he’ll resume practicing. Meanwhile rookie Ameer Abdullah continues to impress in camp and in his first preseason game (rushing for 67 yards on seven carries, including a nice 45 yard run between the tackles.) DET also likes RB Theo Riddick, so this backfield is a fantasy challenge for certain.

8) QB Nick Foles (ST L) – Foles is the Roddy Dangerfield of the NFL. He’s getting no or very little respect. On October 6, 2014 Foles became the starter for the Eagles after Vick suffered a hamstring injury and Foles led the Eagles to a 36-21 win over the Giants. The next week, Foles would get the start Week 6 vs the Bucs and had one of the best starts of his career, completed 22 for 296 yards and 4 total touchdowns (3 passing, 1 rushing) and the win, which earned him NFC Offensive Player of the Week. On March 10, 2015, Foles was traded to ST L, where he is the immediate starter. Many sites are ranking QBs Winston, Mariota, Hoyer, A Smith and Bortles ahead of Foles. Utter-Fantasy is not one of them. We rank him conservatively at #18. QB Rankings.

9) Travis Kelce (KC) – Yes, he had some pretty good games last season, but none of them were spectacular, and I am still trying to figure out the excitement over him. 15 other TEs had more targets than Kelce in 2014 and 14 other TEs had as many or more TDs than Kelce had. Despite all this, and a conservative KC offense, Kelce is ranked on average at #4 TE for 2015. ( maybe because Kelce only played 67% of snaps in ’14 and that number projects to be higher this season) He is Utter-Fantasy’s #9 TE. TE Rankings.

10) WR Jordan Matthews (PHIL) – Only in his second year, Matthews was drafted by the Eagles in the second round of the 2014 NFL Draft. Playing opposite WR Jeremy Maclin, Matthews had a great rookie season, but now the question is…”can he have the same success as the #1 WR, where defenses will game plan for the “Maclin-less Matthews” more than they did in 2014? We believe he can, and think that his fantasy success is easier to predict than the previous 9 on this list.

What’s your prediction on these guys Amazing Karnac?

Utter-Fantasy PPR Rankings

Utter-Fantasy PPR Rankings by Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

1. Le’Veon Bell, RB     PIT
2. Antonio Brown, WR    PIT
3. Matt Forte, RB     CHI
4.Odell Beckham Jr.,  WR  NYG
5. Demaryius Thomas, WR  DEN
6. Dez Bryant, WR    DAL
7. Julio Jones, WR    ATL
8. Jamaal Charles, RB    KC
9. Calvin Johnson, WR    DET
10. Eddie Lacy, RB     GB
11. Marshawn Lynch, RB      SEA
12. Rob Gronkowski, TE    NE
13. Adrian Peterson, RB    MIN
14. Randall Cobb, WR    GB
15. Mark Ingram, RB    NO
16. A.J. Green, WR     CIN
17. LeSean McCoy, RB    BUF
18. Jeremy Hill, RB     CIN
19. C.J. Anderson, RB    DEN
20. Alshon Jeffery, WR    CHI
21. Brandin Cooks, WR    NO
22. Emmanuel Sanders, WR  DEN
23. Carlos Hyde, RB  SF
24. Justin Forsett, RB  BAL
25. T.Y. Hilton, WR    IND
26. Mike Evans, WR  TB
27. DeAndre Hopkins, WR  HOU
28. Amari Cooper, WR    OAK
29. Lamar Miller, RB  MIA
30. DeMarco Murray, RB    PHI
31. Andre Ellington, RB    ARI
32. Golden Tate, WR    DET
33. Julian Edelman, WR    NE
34. Alfred Morris, RB   WAS
35. Keenan Allen, WR    SD
36. Melvin Gordon, RB    SD
37. Andrew Luck, QB    IND
38. Aaron Rodgers, QB    GB
39. Frank Gore, RB      IND
40. Devin Funchess WR    CAR
41. C.J. Spiller  RB     NO
42. Jeremy Maclin, WR    KC
43. Jordan Matthews, WR  PHI
44. Latavius Murray, RB    OAK
45. Jimmy Graham, TE    SEA
46. Travis Kelce, TE  KC
47. Andre Johnson, WR    IND
48. Giovani Bernard, RB    CIN
49. Joseph Randle, RB    DAL
50. Vincent Jackson, WR   TB
51. Jonathan Stewart, RB  CAR
52. Brandon Marshall  WR  NYJ
53. Allen Robinson, WR    JAC
54. Drew Brees, QB    NO
55. Jarvis Landry, WR    MIA
56. Greg Olsen, TE      CAR
57. Todd Gurley, RB    ST
58. LeGarrette Blount, RB  NE
59. Joique Bell, RB     DET
60. Shane Vereen, RB    NYG
61. Eric Decker, WR    NYJ
62. Sammy Watkins, WR      BUF
63. DeSean Jackson, WR  WAS
64. Peyton Manning, QB    DEN
65. Martellus Bennett, TE
66. Victor Cruz, WR   NYG
67. Russell Wilson, QB    SEA
68. Martavis Bryant, WR    PIT
69. Marques Colston, WR  NO
70. Brandon LaFell, WR    NE
71. Steve Smith Sr., WR    BAL
72. Anquan Boldin, WR    SF
73. Devonta Freeman, RB  ATL
74. Zach Ertz, TE    PHI
75. Tony Romo, QB      DAL
76. Ben Roethlisberger, QB
77.  Roddy White, WR    ATL
78. Ameer Abdullah, RB    DET
79. Torrey Smith, WR    SF
80. Terrance Williams WR   DAL
81. Charles Johnson  WR  MINN
82. John Brown, WR    ARI
83. Breshad Perriman, WR  BAL
84. Jason Witten, TE    DAL
85. Cam Newton, QB    CAR
86. Michael Floyd, WR    ARI
87. Chris Ivory, RB    NYJ
88. Rashad Jennings, RB   NYG
89. Larry Fitzgerald, WR  ARI
90. Kendall Wright, WR    TEN
91. Tevin Coleman, RB    ATL
92. T.J. Yeldon, RB    JAC
93. Danny Woodhead, RB  SD
94. Jonathan Stewart  RB   CAR
95. Matt Ryan, QB    ATL
96. Ryan Tannehill, QB    MIA
97. Julius Thomas, TE    JAC
98. Jordan Cameron, TE   MIA
99. Delanie Walker, TE    TEN
100. Alfred Blue RB HOU

Fantasy Sleeper Running Backs


 

Fantasy Sleeper Running Backs by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator & Doug Bowles

The NFL Draft has come and gone, and in it’s wake, along with a wild free agency, are dramatically changes to depth charts. Many new faces to the NFL will be obvious 2015 fantasy draft picks in September, such as Oakland’s WR Amari Cooper, San Diego’s RB Melvin Gordon and Chicago WR Kevin White. I have often said however, that almost anyone can intelligently draft the first 4-5 rounds of a fantasy. The real work is keenly navigating through the later rounds and picking up fantasy sleepers that other owners haven’t paid attention to, or don’t even know about.

Last year about this time, I wrote an article entitled “Shuffle Up and Draft” and strongly urged owners to seriously consider the 2014 wide receiver class as legitimate fantasy weapons. If you took my advice, you probably did very well last year.

Because of the success of the rookies in 2014, this year’s rookie wide receiver class won’t fly under anyone’s radar, so one has to dig deeper into rosters to find potential “Sleepers for 2015″.

In 2014, the general consensus was that the league had “devalued’ the running back position, so fantasy owners were forced to as well. Owners of DeMarco Murray or LeVeon Bell however, were glad that they didn’t, and a push is back to get quality backs early.

Here are some running back names that you should consider after the top 10 are gone.

Indianapolis RB Frank Gore- I love this landing spot for Gore! He is one of the toughest players in the NFL, so he’s always going to suit up. He now plays on one of the best offenses and he will get tons of opportunities in the red zone. Utter- Fantasy currently has him as the #15 RB for 2015, and that may be too low.

Dallas RB Joseph Randle- I would not have been surprised if the Cowboys had drafted a running back in the first round of this years draft, but at the same time, wasn’t surprised that they didn’t draft one at all. I have been a firm believer that they consider RB Randle perfectly capable of handling the starting position in Dallas, especially with the league’s best O-Line. FYI- Don’t even consider RB McFadden as the starter. This guy is insurance only.

New England RB LeGarrett Blount- In current mock drafts, names like Ellington, Yeldon, Spiller (seriously?) and Gurley are going before Blount. HC Belichick has always gotten huge production out of Blount, and with RBs Vereen and Ridley gone, it’s Blount’s job to lose, and I don’t think he will, barring an unfortunate injury. Blount is Utter-Fantasy’s 16th ranked RB going into 2015., ( not #24, as in current mock drafts)

Detroit RB Ameer Abdullah-
The rookie RB rushed for 67 yards on 7 carries in the Lions’ Week 1 preseason opener. With Joique Bell still in recovery mode from offseason knee and Achilles’ issues, Abdullah ran with the starters and broke off an impressive 45-yard run between the tackles, showing off his agility and cutting ability. It’s a crowded backfield with Bell to return, and with Theo Riddick getting some reps, but Abdullah’s talent is unquestionable

San Diego RB Danny Woodhead- 2nd on the Chargers depth chart, Woodhead is expected to remain “a vital weapon” for the Chargers “on third down and in the passing game.” In his 1sy preseason game and 1st game back since last September when he injured his right ankle, Woodhead scored on an 8-yard run. Woodhead caught 76 balls in 2013, finishing as a top-13 PPR back

Houston RB Alfred Blue- With the newest injury to RB Arian Foster, the Texans find themselves without a starting RB, so RB Blue is once again on fantasy owner’s radar. It’s a familar role for Blue, who has stepped in more than a couple times due to Foster’s injury history. In the 1st preseason game vs SF, Blue was very impressive with Alfred Blue rushed 9 times for 59 yards with his longest run going for 32 yards. Houston may add another RB, but until we know differently, it’s Blue’s job to lose

Carolina Rookie Cameron Artis-Payne– 4th Round selection- Many owners became new believers in RB Jonathon Stewart last year, when he surprised most by ending the season as the 22nd ranked RB. I am NOT one of those new believers. Stewart is always going to be an ankle injury away from sitting the bench, which he has had and done, many times before. Artis-Payne is a very physical runner with great vision, and will get split carries even if Stewart stays healthy.

Arizona Rookie RB Chris Johnson- This paragraph was dedicated to the rookie RB David Johnson, but HC Bruce Arians has been so frustrated with his injured RBs ( Ellington and David Johnson) that he signed RB Chris Johnson. Chris hasn’t done much the last couple yars, but in 2014 he did have a 4.27 a yard rushing average. RB David Johnson is a better candidate for goal line work than starter RB Ellington. Ellington is also coming off the foot injury that sidelined him in 2014 for the final 5 games. Coach Bruce Arians “left open the possibility” that Chris Johnson could emerge as the Cardinals’ “featured tailback.”

Jacksonville RB Denard Robinson-
The Jaguars selected Rookie RB TJ Yeldon in the 2nd round of this year’s draft and most project him as the starter. However, having a wife who is an Alabama Alum, I have watched every game of the Crimson Tide, and I can’t say that Yeldon has ever impressed me much. I believe that he will be more a “Trent Richrdson” and less of an “Eddie Lacy”. Robinson on the other hand, starts every year down on the depth chart, and fights his way into the starting line-up. Don’t write Denard off this season!

Other less potential candidates: NYJ Stevan Ridley- KC Knile Davis- NYG Shane Vereen

Fantasy Football Top 150 Players

Fantasy Football Top 150 Players by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

1. RB Marshawn Lynch SEA-   Most dependable RB over past 4 years
2. RB Eddie Lacy GB-   1 RB workhorse- safer health-wise than Charles
3. RB Jamaal Charles KC-   Huge potential if he plays 16 games
4. RB LeVeon Bell PITT-   #1 RB if not for the 2 game suspension
5. RB Matt Forte CHI-   Most valuable NFL RB in the passing game
6. TE Gronk- NE ( in TE must own leagues)-   In Tier #1 by himself
7. RB Adrian Peterson MINN-   Rare athlete, but there are risks w/ him
8. NYG Odell Beckham NYG-  Most exciting fantasy player for 2015
9. RB C J Anderson DEN-  More upside than in ’14 because Denver will run
10. WR Antonio Brown PITT- #1 WR in 2014- 33-games w/ at least 5 catches
11. WR LeSean McCoy BUFF
12. WR Dez Bryant DAL
13. WR Demaryius Thomas DEN
14. WR Julio Jones ATL
15. WR Jordy Nelson GB
16. RB Jeremy Hill CINN
17. WR A J Green
18. RB Mark Ingram NO
19. WR Calvin Johnson DET
20. RB Melvin Gordon SD – rookie
21. RB Carlos Hyde SF
22. RB Justin Forsett BALT
23. RB LeGarrett Blount NE
24. RB DeMarco Murray PHIL
25. WR Randall Cobb GB
26. QB Andrew Luck IND
27. QB Aaron Rodgers GB
28. RB Frank Gore IND
29. WR T Y Hilton IND
30. RB Alfred Morris WASH
31. RB Joseph Randle DAL
32. RB Lamar Miller MIA
33. WR Alshon Jeffery CHI
34. RB Latavius Murray OAK
35. WR Emmanuel Sanders DEN
36. WR DeAndre Hopkins HOU
37. RB Andre Ellington ARI
38. WR Golden Tate DET
39. TE Greg Olsen CA
40. TE Jimmy Graham SEA
41. RB Joique Bell DET- (injured)
42. WR Mike Evans TB
43. WR Jordan Matthews PHIL
44. TE Josh Hill NO
45. QB Drew Brees NO
46. QB Peyton Manning
47. RB Jonathan Stewart CAR
48. RB Gio Bernard CINN
49. WR Michael Floyd ARI- Out until Sept with dislocated finger surgery
50. WR Martavius Bryant PITT
51. RB Isaiah Crowell CLEV
52. RB Rashard Jennings NYG
53. WR Brandon Cooks NO
54. WR Devin Funchess Carolina rookie
55. RB Doug Martin TB
56. RB T J Yeldon JACK- rookie
57. WR Andre Johnson IND
58. QB Ben Roethlisberger
59. QB Philip Rivers
60. QB Russell Wilson
61. WR Amari Cooper- Oakland rookie
62. WR Andre Johnson IND
63. WR Sammy Watkins BUFF
64. WR Charles Johnson MINN
65. RB Chris Ivory NYJ
66. RB Ameer Abdullah DET rookie
67. RB Tevin Coleman ATL- rookie
68. WR DeSean Jackson WASH
69. WR Nelson Agholor PHIL
70. WR Brandon LaFell NE
71. TE Martellis Bennett CHI
72. TE Dwayne Allen IND
73. RB Todd Gurley ST L
74. RB DeAngelo Williams PITT
75. QB Tony Romo DAL
76. WR Roddy White ATL
77. WR Julian Edelman NE
78. QB Eli Manning NYG
79. QB Cam Newton CAR
80. QB Tom Brady
81. QB Matt Ryan ATL
82. QB Matt Stafford DET
83. WR Jarvis Landry MIA
84. TE Jason Witten DAL
85. TE Owen Daniels DEN
86. TE Travis Kelce KC
87. RB Danny Woodhead SD
88. RB Tre Mason ST L- could be starter at season open
89. WR Keenan Allen SD
90. WR Pierre Garcon WASH
91. RB David Cobb TENN
92. TE Coby Fleener IND
93. RB Arian Foster HOU- INJURED 8/4 OUT 8 weeks of reg season
94. RB David Johnson ARI
95. RB Andre Williams NYG
96. TE Ladarius Green SD
97. WR Marques Colston NO
98. WR Jeremy Maclin KC
99. WR Vincent Jackson TB
100. WR Terrance Williams DAL
101. WR John Brown ARI
102. RB C J Spiller
103. RB Ryan Mathews PHIL
104. RB Shane Vereen NYG
105. RB Davonta Freeman ATL
106. WR Malcolm Floyd SD
107. QB Jay Cutler CHI
108. QB Joe Flacco BALT
109. QB Carson Palmer ARI
110. WR Anquan Boldin SF
111. WR Torrey Smith SF
112. WR Preshard Perriman BALT rookie
113. WR Victor Cruz NYG
114. WR DaVanta Adams GB
115. TE Delanie Walker TENN
116. RB Ryan Mathews PHIL
117. RB Shane Vereen NYG
118. TE Maxx Williams BALT
119. WR Eric Decker NYJ
120. WR Steve Smith BALT
121. WR Markus Wheaton PITT
122. QB Nick Foles ST L
123. QB Andy Dalton CINN
124. RB Fred Jackson BUFF
125. RB Darren Sproles PHIL
126. RB Knile Davis KC
127. RB Reggie Bush SF
128. WR Jaelen Strong HOU rookie
129. WR Mike Wallace MINN
130. WT Doug Baldwin SEA
131. TE Zach Ertz PHIL
132. TE Kyle Rudolph MINN
133. RB Chris Johnson ARI
134. RB Denard Robinson JACK
135. RB Montee Ball DEN
136. RB Benny Cunningham ST L
137. RB Terrance West CLEV
138. WR Larry Fitzgerald
139. WR Donte Moncrief INF
140. WR Danny Amendola NE
141. WR Kendall Wright TENN
142. WR Kenny Stills MIA
143. WR Dwayne Bowe CLEV
144. DEF Seattle
145. DEF Houston
146. DEF Arizona
147. WR Eddie Royal CHI
148. WR Michael Crabtree OAK
149. RB Bishop Sankey TENN
150. RB Duke Johnson CLEV rookie

Key Injuries- Out for the season- WR Kelvin Benjamin CAR- WR Kevin White CHI

 

7 Tips for Drafting Your Fantasy Team

 

7 Tips for Drafting Your Fantasy Team by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles


Hut One- Study, study, and study some more!- If you want to come in last place, just study for one hour before the draft! When someone at your draft hasn’t studied, everyone usually knows it by round 3 or 4. Truth is, any Joe or Jane off the street can do a Fantasy Draft for the 1st 4-5 rounds. It’s after those rounds that championship teams are built. A good tip is to study a little at a time, up until your draft, rather than a one long crash course. Make yourself familiar with the fantasy stars from the previous season, where free agents landed, who the rookies are from this year’s NFL draft and where players are being drafted in mock drafts ( thousands of fantasy owner’s heads are better than one) Fantasy Football magazines are a great place to start, and the internet has an endless amount of information for you to research from, via search engines, sports websites, and blogs. Before drafting your fantasy team, you need to research all the available players so you can pre-rank them according to your personal preference.


Hut Two- Be prepared to have another player(s) selection ready, in the event that the player you wanted has just 
been taken- It’s important that drafts move a nice pace. It helps keep team owners stay focused, and it helps you to make a good selection because you are prepared. When one team owner of the league takes an eternity to make each of his/her player selections during the draft, his/her team suffers and the rest of the league can as well. Make sure you have player options ready when it’s your turn, or you will be 1) lost as to who you do want next and 2) rushed into selecting someone that you really don’t want. When my turn is 3 teams away from picking during the draft, I have spent the time since my last selection, focusing on 3+ players that I desperately want on my fantasy team. If two of them were chosen before it’s my turn to pick, I’m ready, because I have that 3rd player ready to draft.


Hut Three- Draft Quality Players at Every Position- 
During the draft, keep a record of how many players you have selected in each position. Team owners that have drafted 4-5 top RBs in a row, agreeably will have the best stable of RBs in your league, but by ignoring the other positions, that team will ultimately be beat week after week, by teams that have strength at every position. Remember, you can only score two RBs each week, so those other 3-4 superstar RBs that you are smitten with, aren’t helping your team sitting the bench. You need quality WRs to score each week, as well as a strong TE ,QB, DE and K. Pay attention to your team, and draft intelligently at every position.

Hut Four- Drafting in Tiers- 
 I previously wrote…. “Before choosing your fantasy team, you need to research all the available players so you can pre-rank them according to your personal preference.” I want you to do one more thing. After you pre-rank players according to your personal preference. then divide your QBs, RBs, TEs, WRs, Ks and DEFs into “Tiers”. “Tiers” are same-position players categorized by groups of talent. For example, your RBs list might have your top 60 RBs ranked 1-60, but “Tier One” may only included J Charles, M Lynch, M Forte, A.P. ,Eddie Lacy and LeVeon Bell in it. “Tier Two” might start with L McCoy, C J Anderson etc, and include as many RBs that you think rival their fantasy value. When drafting, if I know I am after either a WR or a RB, I will refer to my Teir rankings and select a “Tier 2” WR” over a “Tier 3” RB. An example of Tier rankings can be seen at this CBS Sportsline link- TIER RANKINGS

Hut Five-
Do Not Draft a Kicker or Defense Until the Last Few Rounds- 
This one is self- explanatory, but even as simple as this strategy is, many fantasy owners don’t end up follow this advice.This usually happens because 1) a team is unprepared when it’s their turn in the draft to pick a player, and therefore end up swinging for a kicker or defense out of desperation or 2) Someone is enamored with the successful performance of a kicker/defense from the previous season. Particularly concerning kickers, very seldomly do they follow up a great stat year, with another great one. Pick your kickers last. Pick your defense(s) next to last if you can, (even the Seattle Defense only ranked as the 23rd DEF in 2014. Note that last season, the Philadelphia DEF wasn’t selected in most drafts, and they ended up being the #1 DEF for 2014. In 2013, the Kansas City DEF wasn’t selected in most drafts, and they ended that season as the #1 DEF. DEF Rankings for years 2014 thru 2000 can be seen at this FFToday link- DEF RANKINGS

Hut Six- I’ve never been hurt drafting QBs later in the draft.
 I usually get a couple of good fantasy QBs later in the draft , and play the match ups. If you do get one early, know that you paid a big price for a big QB, so concentrate on filling other positions for the bulk of your next 9-10 rounds. A fantasy owner who drafts QB Andrew Luck with their 1st or 2nd selection shouldn’t be looking to draft another QB until very late in the draft. Tip #3 above reminds you to draft quality players in every position. You only score one QB each week, but in most leagues, you have to score 2 RBs, 3 WRs and TE, and you want them to be good ones.

Hike-Do not ignore the Bye Weeks. During the draft, when you are keeping a record of how many players you have selected in each position, note their bye weeks as well. You never want a lot players that you drafted to be off during the same bye week.

Fantasy Sleeper WRs

 

Fantasy Sleeper WRs by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator & Doug ” insomniac” Bowles

Fantasy Sleepers are a late-round picks or waiver-wire selections who exceed their statistical expectations. Looking over my WR sleeper list, it’s almost split down the middle. 5 Vets- 4 Rookies. Because of the success of the rookie WRs in 2014, this year’s rookie wide receiver class won’t fly under anyone’s radar, but not all of them are in great situations to excel. In the 2015 NFL Draft, 6 WRs were selected in Round One. 3 in Round 2 and 5 in Round 3. Of these 14 rookie wide receivers, I like where 4 of them ended up very much, and consider them nice sleepers for the 2015. Many new faces to the NFL will be obvious 2015 fantasy draft picks in September, such as Oakland’s WR Amari Cooper and Chicago WR Kevin White, and Utter-Fantasy considers their situation early picks and not necessarily sleepers. I have often said that almost anyone can intelligently draft the first 4-5 rounds of a fantasy. The real work is keenly navigating through the later rounds and picking up fantasy sleepers that other owners haven’t paid attention to, or don’t even know about.

In 2014, the general consensus was that the league had “de-valued’ the running back position, so fantasy owners were forced to as well. Owners of DeMarco Murray or LeVeon Bell however, were glad that they didn’t, and a push is back to get quality backs early. The wide receiver corps are deeper than ever, so if you do go RBs early, these sleepers below will help you round out and give depth to your fantasy team.

Here are some wide receiver names that you should consider after the top 20 are gone.

Carolina WR Devin Funchess- Last year Kelvin Benjamin was the WR corps for the Panthers- Along with TE Greg Olsen, they caught 75% of the passes thrown by QB Cam Newton. Carolina desperately needed a #2 WR to run opposite 6’5″ Benjamin, and they drafted a good with 6’4″ Devin Funchess. He is my #1 WR sleeper for 2015. UPDATE: WR K Benjamin, the #1 WR in Carolina, is out for the season with a torn ACL, and some think this hurts WR Funchess’ fantasy value, some think it helps. I think Funchess is still my top sleeper and that it definitely helps TE Greg Olsen’s fantasy value for sure

Philadelphia WR Nelson Agholor-
With the departure of WR Jeremy Maclin to KC, comes a huge need in Philadelphia for a solid #2 wide receiver to pair with 2014’s rookie draft pick Jordan Matthews. WR Nelson Agholor is expected to have an immediate impact in Chip Kelly’s offense, and Utter-Fantasy agrees.

Indianapolis Andre Johnson- Andre has to be thrilled wher he landed, and fantasy owners should as well. He has suffered for years playing with sub-par quarterbacks, and yet every year becasue of his amazing talent, manages to put up decent stats. In 2014 he ranked #38 WR for the season despite the fact that few can remeber who was throwing him the ball last year. He hasa  ton to prove in 20-15, and has the QB to help him do just that.

Dallas Terrance Williams- Did you know that Terrance Williams started out the 2014 season with 6 Romo TD receptions in the 1st 7 games? Williams ended the 2104 NFL season as the 41 ranked WR with 621 yard receiving and 8 total TD receptions. Despite these star, he is getting very love and current;y ranked the #58 WR by NFL.com. Utter-Fantasy likes him better than that- he’s our #38 WR.

Seattle WR Tyler Lockett- caught 2-of-2 targets for 77 yards and a touchdown in Thursday’s Preseason Week 4 finale, starting with Russell Wilson on Seattle’s first series. Lockett burned past Oakland’s secondary an hauled in a 63-yard touchdown. The rookie receiver ended the preseason with stats 6/129/1, while also having a 103-yard kick return touchdown and 67-yard punt score- a must add especially if your league scores punt/kickoff return yards


Atlanta WR Leonard Hankerson-
For the past couple years, WR Harry Douglas has been a had a significant role in the Atlanta offense, even when WRs Julio Jones and Roddy White were healthy. He is now in Tennessee, and it appears as though WR Hankerson is that 3rd WR weapon for QB Matt Ryan.

Baltimore WR Kamar Aiken –
The old saying….”Someone has to catch the ball” With WR rookie B Perriman sidelined, Aiken once again got the start. He appears to clearly be the No. 2 behind Steve Smith, making him worth a late-round flier

Chicago Eddie Royal– With injuries to rookie WR Kevin W#hite ( out for the season) and #1 WR Alshon Jeffery  ( calf- expected back buy the season opener) WR Eddie Royal moves up to the starting line up and has history with QB Jay Cutler from their days together in Denver. QB Cutler has already targeted Royal often so far, making Royal a big sleeper candidate for 2015

Cincinnati WR Mohamed Sanu- Sanu is another guy who gets very little respect even though he ended the 2014 season as the #34 ranked WR with 790 yards and 5 TDs. ( oh, and 1 TD pass which went to QB Andy dalton in Week 3) It’s all because WR Marvin Jones is always getting the love in the middle rounds. Jones is a mention in my article “CAUTION- Drafting These Players in 2015.”….because of one game in 2013 when he hauled in 4 TD passes. Jones only has 69 total career receptions.

NY Giants WR  James Jones- No WR had more receptions or yards over 1st 3 preseason games for NY than WR  James Jones- 11/148 yds- WR V Cruz is still doubtful to start Week 1 of the regular season. Also WR Rueban Randle has been sidelined since the Giants’ first preseason game on August 14

( Baltimore WR Breshad Perriman– was one of my earlier WR sleepers, but injuries has caused him to drop fantasy-wise- out since the first practice of training camp with a “strained tendon” in his knee. With QB Joe Flacco’s cannon-arm, speedster Perriman could have some huge games, if he can get healthy )

Other potential candidates: PITT Markus Wheaton- SEA Doug Baldwin- JACK Allen Robinson- CAR J Cotchery- GB Ty Montgomery

Click here for Utter-Fantasy RB Sleepers

My Peek at a Fantasy Mock Draft

 


My Peek at a Fantasy Mock Draft by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator & Mock Draft Zealot Doug Bowles

Roughly 4 weeks + until our first preseason game for 2015 (NFL/Hall of Fame Game- Aug. 9, Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota ) and when I am not writing or illustrating about fantasy football, I am participating in, or watching mock fantasy drafts closely. One of my favorite websites to see completed mock drafts and to participate in a mock draft is at http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com …8-10-12- even 14 team mock drafts are available.

Here’s the top 9 rounds of a draft I recent devoured, but did not participate in.
PeekImage
First thing that hits me from the 1st round is that fantasy owners with the #1 pick are trusting AP. I know he’s a super-athlete but he has been away from the game for a year, AND make no mistake about it, he is still plenty pissed off that the Vikings for not back him 100% in his child-abuse case ( and personally, I am glad they didn’t). If RB LeVeon Bell wasn’t facing the 3 game suspension, AP wouldn’t be considered at #1. I’ll be drafting Jamaal, Eddie and Marshawn ahead of AP.

The second thing that stands out is WR Odell Beckham going as the 3rd overall WR. I can see plenty of arguments that favor taking #1 WR and certainly sooner than the 13th overall selection, as he went in this draft. He played in only 12 games, and yet was the 6th ranked WR for 2014. He broke 24 New York Giants franchise records… and 34 NFL Records ? ( see NY Giants Team Profile for entire list). Antonio Brown is sensational, as is Dez, but Beckham is game changer, and I want him badly.

RB DeMarco Murray- Sensational 2014 season, no doubt about it. However, the truth is the Dallas O-Line is the BEST in the NFL, and your grandmother could have ran for 1200 yards and scored 12 TDs with the holes they made for Murray. Why do you think Jerry Jones made no effort to re-sign Murray? Because he’s ordinary. He had good burst thru holes that were as wide as Broadway Tunnel. Remember Seattle’s RB Shaun Alexander in ’05? HUGE year, then he lost his incredible fullback Mack Strong and members of Seattle’s O-Line, and Alexander sudden wasn’t a #1 RB anymore. Add that to Murray’s new home in Philly, where he’ll share time with RBs Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles ( and don’t think he won’t ) and the fact that he was way over-used last year, and you have an RB crashing down to Earth fantasy-wise. Call me crazy if you want, but I’m drafting 16 RBs before Murray. You can laugh at me in January if you want…..or vise versa :)

QBs. Everyone who knows me, knows that I ALWAYS, ALWAYS, ALWAYS, wait for a QB. I’m not saying everyone else has to, but in 2014 no one passed for more yards than Ben Roethlisberger and I got him a few times in 2014 near the 10th round. He didn’t go in this draft until round 9, even after his huge season. That’s a quality fantasy pick. A-A-Ron and Luck are great to have, but I do love me some RBs and WRs early, and it has never hurt me to get a Brady, a Rivers, a Romo or a Matt Ryan or even Eli as late as round 8. Peyton dropping to Round 5 and Brees to Round 6 is surprising. My top #2 tier for QBs always has about 13 QBs in it! I can draft other players round after round, until this tier gets too thin, then I jump in, and get two of them. Just look who “Rookie” could have gotten if he passed on Wilson in the 5th Round and instead grabbed Roethlisberger in the 8th!

TE Jimmy Graham going is the 2nd TE off the boards but I don’t trust huge fantasy points from him now that he’s in Seattle. That team runs the ball, or they find different ways to score week to week, so Graham won’t be as dependable as he was in New Orleans. Even more shocking is TE Travis Kelce going 3rd. Graham and Brees had great chemistry. Will QB Wilson and Graham have the same? I don’t know. As for Kelce, I am tired of hearing about his “up-coming break out year”. He had 5 TDs last year, on a team that had zero TD passes going to it’s wide receivers. You take Kelce, I’ll take Olsen, or Bennett of Fleener. ( I do not like Julius Thomas in Jacksonville either.)

Other things that stick out to me…..because I can’t help It…

***WR Calvin Johnson is a future HOFer but he is going as the 6th overall WR and often sooner. Sorry, but that’s too early for a guy that will be a year older, and who ranked #15 WR last season. ( and I am Detroit Lions guy.) I hope he’s healthier and proves me wrong, but I like Jordy and AJ over Megatron.

*** RB J Forsett, despite his impressive 2014 season, is too early for me as the 12th RB off the board.

***WR Sammy Watkins’ fantasy stock pummets for me this September. I do not like QB Matt Cassel or QB EJ Manuel, AND defense coordinators have had all winter to scheme for the only WR weapon on the team. ( WR Percy Harvin is making his yearly preseason noise again…..”This is my year!” Maybe he will, but I don’t pick “maybes”.

*** RB Ande Ellington worries me. Please take him early, so I don’t have to consider him later.

***WR Mike Evans had a monster rookie season, and although many think rookie QB Jameis Winston is an upgrade over QBs McCown and Glennon, I do not share in that opinion. Winston has never faced NFL defenses before, and they are going to come at him a warp speed. I’m a “I’ll believe it when I see it” guy, so i.e…..WR Mike Evans stock drops for me. I currently have 14 WRs I like now before him in Utter-Fantasy WR Rankings.

*** RB F Gore was a nice selection in the 4th Round. I LOVE him this year in Indianapolis. DO NOT let him get passed you, if for some reason he drops to the 5th.

*** WR Jeremy Maclin is a guy I’m avoiding. KC will be as conservative as they always are….bet on it.

*** RB Latavius Murray is a guy I want, but I would have grabbed RB Le Garrette Blount before Murray.

*** RB Bishop Sankey, CJ Spiller nor Reggie B will get on my fantasy teams, unless it’s way DEEP into the draft.

*** WR Jarvis Landry was an interesting fill in guy for me last year ( he ended the 2014 season as the 42nd ranked WR ) and I fully expected him to build on his rookie year…however, that was before Miami added Kenny Stills, DeVante parker, Greg Jennings and TE Jordan Cameron. These are TOO many mouths to feed people. 32nd WR off the board is too early. I like plenty of other options, that aren’t even here.

*** RB Jeremy Hill would not have been selected before LeSean McCoy two weeks ago, but I am buying into the Jeremy Hill love. Maybe not before C J Anderson ( Denver wants Peyton fresh) or before Forte…the #1 RB in the passing game.

And lastly…..( although I could dissect this draft until my eyes are shot)…

*** RB Darren McFadden should not be drafted anywhere’s near the 8th round or 12th round!

Hope your fantasy juices are getting pumped…mine are.

CAUTION Drafting These Fantasy Players


CAUTION Drafting These Fantasy Players by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

I’ve never had WR Michael Crabtree on any fantasy football roster. His first couple years in the NFL, I didn’t exactly avoid drafting him, I just didn’t happen get him in any draft. Now he is now one of those players who I will avoid, because he never lives up to his potential, his notoriety, or his whatever. Since 2009, Crabtree has only gone over 1000 yards once. In 4 out of 6 years playing, he has had only 4 TD receptions or less for the season ( 2,4,1,4). NFL.com currently has him ranked #54 WR for 2015, ahead of such names as WRs NYG Victor Cruz (#57), DAL Terrance Williams (#58), and SEA Doug Baldwin (#60). I’ll be drafting the three guys that I just wrote about in every draft without exception, before WR Michael Crabtree.

This article is about the Crabtrees, the Marvin Jones’, the Jonathon Stewart’s of the NFL, who are not un-draftable guys, quite the contrary. They are however, guys that you want to be careful to not draft too early because they are not worth it. The “Un-draftable guys”, or guys you can draft but I never will, is another article. ( Teaser……CLEV Brian Hartline, BUFF Robert Woods, TENN Justin Hunter etc)

QBs-

TENN- Marcus Mariota- It drives me crazy when others rank QBs such as Nick Foles, Andy Dalton, Derek Carr and even Alex Smith lower than rookie QBs who haven’t completed a single pass yet in the NFL. Rookie QBs will face professional, hard -hitting NFL defenses for the first time in their lives. Until they get experience and prove something, the two rookie QBs are ranked 31 & 32….period! (BTW- this time last year, some of these other rankings had Manziel #15 QB ranked, before he ever had an NFL pass completion….it was ridiculous )

TB- Jameis Winston – same as above


RBs

ARI- Andre Ellington- Smallish back ( 5’9-199 lbs) and over-used in ’14. Cardinals drafted 6’1″ 224 lbs RB David Johnson- Ellington not only loses carries, but goal line carries to the bigger back. Utter-Fantasy’s rank- #23 RB ( NFL.com- #18)

ATL- DeVonta Freeman
– Falcons didn’t use Freeman in ’14, running RB Steven Jackson instead??? Drafted RB Tevin Coleman will steal too many carries- Either can be found on top of the Atlanta Falcons depth chart, depending on which site you’re looking at- Utter-Fantasy’s rank- #39 RB ( NFL.com- #42)

CAR- Jonathan Stewart– He played in the final 10 games of 2015, and suddenly this guy is the Iron Man of the NFL?!? He only had 809 yards and 3 TDs in 2014. RB DeAngelo William’s departure doesn’t automatically make this RB great or durable. He hasn’t played in 16 games since 2011. Currently be drafted too high- Utter-Fantasy’s rank- #25 RB ( NFL.com- #19)

JACK- T J Yeldon– Every season it seems, the Jags have a new RB that fantasy owners get enamored with- Last year it was RB Toby Gerhart. This is still Jacksonville, with the 30th worst O-Line in the NFL. We believe Alabama-alum Yeldon is more RB Trent Richardson than Eddie Lacy- Utter-Fantasy’s rank- #30 RB ( NFL.com- #19 RB)

N.O. C J Spiller– If you are considering this guy where CBS Sportsline has him ranked, it’s because he’s never been on your fantasy team before. I don’t care if it is the Saints- it’s still Spiller, and those who have had him and suffered thru his under-achieving mediocrity, rank him where we do- Utter-Fantasy’s- #44 RB ( CBS Sportsline- #22 RB)

PHIL- DeMarco Murray-
The Dallas ’14 O-Line was the BEST in the NFL, and your grandmother could have ran for 1200 yards and scored 12 TDs with the holes they made for Murray. DeMarco had good burst thru holes that were big enough to drive a truck thru- Now in a RBBC in Philly, with RBs Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles- Utter-Fantasy’s- #17 RB ( NFL.com- #11 RB)

SF- Reggie Bush-
This write up could be a carbon copy of the one done above on C J Spiller with just a couple changes. If you are considering this guy where NFL.com has him ranked, it’s because he’s hasn’t been on your fantasy team for a while. If Reggie has a sneeze, he sits the sidelines. His motivation for the NFL has been gone since his move on Kim Kardashian. Utter-Fantasy’s- #54 RB ( NFL.com- #39 RB)


WRs


ARI- Larry Fitzgerald-
Fantastic career- Fantastic person, but he ended 2014 ranked 55th WR- Only 2 TDs., and now one year older- I like WRs Michael Floyd & John Brown over Fitz – Utter-Fantasy’s- #55 WR ( NFL.com- #39)

CINN- Marvin Jones-
This guy always gets love in the late middle rounds, all because of one game in 2013 when he hauled in 4 TD passes. 69 total career receptions. Utter-Fantasy’s #64 WR ( CBS Sportsline- #55)

KC- Jeremy Maclin-
A KC wide receiver will catch a TD pass in 2015, but the Chiefs ultra-conservative offense will stay ultra-conservative….bet on it. Maclin’s stats will be very limited. Nothing deep from QB Alex Smith again in 2015. – Utter-Fantasy’s- #34 WR ( NFL.com- #22)

MIA- DeVante Parker- Expectations are high for rookie WRs, after the monster year that rookie wide receivers had in 2014 ( Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, Kelvin Bajamin etc) and I don’t think the class of 2015 will disappoint either- Parker however, is not in a good place. The Miami WR corps are VERY crowded, and he doesn’t have near the upside that say OAK WR Amari Cooper or CHI Kevin White has. Read more in Utter-Fantasy’s “Fantasy Football Offensive Rookie Landing Spots ( Are They In A Good Place Or Bad?)”– Utter-Fantasy’s- #66 WR ( NFL.com- #44)

OAK- Michael Crabtree- See opening paragraph- Utter-Fantasy’s #58 WR ( CBS Sportsline- #54 WR)

TENN- Kendall Wright –
Rookie QB Marcus Mariota isn’t going to “tear up” the NFL in his 1st year. Only thing going for Wright is that he’s Titan’s #1 WR on the roster. Utter-Fantasy’s #52 WR ( NFL.com- #47)

TB- Mike Evans-
Don’t get me wrong, this kid is great. Spectacular rookie year. But it will be a while for QB Jameis Winston to be an upgrade over QBs McCown/ Glennon. Those who think Winston ALREADY is an upgrade are fooling themselves. Winston’s growing pains will be the reason Evans doesn’t go for 1051 yards/ 12 TDs in 2015. – Utter-Fantasy’s- #15 WR ( NFL.com- #10 WR)

TEs

JACK- Julius Thomas- His success in Denver with QB Peyton Manning will have fantasy owners drafting him far too early in drafts this September. He is the Demarco Murray of TEs……he was in a great place, with a great quarterback and a great O-Line ( and Jacksonville has none of that.) Utter-Fantasy’s #16 TE ( NFL.com- #5 TE)

MIA- Jordan Cameron- There is no questioning this man’s athletic abilities. In 2014, he had the longest reception for a TE ( 81 yds). He is in Miami now however, with alot of other offensive weapons (which CLEV didn’t have) and Miami likes to run the ball inside the 10 (45 times) only 1 other team did it more.(NE- 52 times)- – Utter-Fantasy’s- #11 TE ( CBS Sportsline- #7 TE )

This will be an article that I will continue to add to, so check for updates! We are getting close to kick off fantasy leaguers!

•Utter-Fantasy’s Preliminary 2015 Quarterback Rankings
•Utter-Fantasy’s Preliminary 2015 Running Back Rankings
•Utter-Fantasy’s Preliminary 2015 Wide Receiver Rankings
•Utter-Fantasy’s Preliminary 2015 Tight End Rankings

NFL Week 1 Waiver Wire

NFL Week 1 Waiver Wire One by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

 

In a few weeks begins the NFL team Bye Weeks. With many players off in the coming weeks, it will be important to your fantasy football teams to find players on the NFL Waiver Wire Week 1 and in other weeks, particularly quarterbacks, to stay competitive in your fantasy football leagues.

 

Quarterbacks Waiver Wire Week 11

ARI Carson Palmer- Palmer was not selected high in many drafts, but he has many weapons around him this season and he could be a nice quarterback to give depth to your fantasy football roster

Running Backs Waiver Wire Week 1

 

PITT DeAngelo Williams- 2 weeks as probable starter due to LeV Bell’s suspension

NE Dion Lewis- will get plenty of touches w/ Le Blount on suspension Week 1

JACK Denard Robinson- If RB Yeldon can’t make strides toward starting in the next 2 weeks

BUFF Fred Jackson- Who has finally returned to practice, and with L McCoys recent injury

SD D Woodhead- Still showcased in SD’s offense

DEN R Hillman– He has moved right behind CJ Anderson- ( Anderson new ankle injury)

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Week 1

 

ATL Leonard Hankerson- #3 WR and good chemistry with QB M Ryan

BALT- WRs K Aiken- ( rookie Perriman still not practicing)

CAR- Jericho Cotchery- Someone has to be the #2 there with K Benjamin OUT

HOU- WR Nate Washington- still a WR with good hands- #3 for Texans

NYG Preston Parker- Has been 1st string with V Cruz and R Randle still

Tight Ends Waiver Wire Week 1

 

NO TE Ben Watson- the chemistry w/ QB Brees is with Ben Watson who is listed as the #1 TE on NO depth chart

NE TE Scott Chandler- QB brady has already hit him with a TD pass- Chandler will be the guy in 2 TE formations

 

RBBC is a Four Letter Word

RBBC is a Four Letter Word by Utter-Fantasy Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

I’m obviously taking writer’s license by calling “RBBC” a word, but for the sake of having a funny headline, I am going with it.

Running Back By Committee is almost as vile to hear for a fantasy footballer, as hearing one of your players has “a torn ACL”….or…“it’s a 80 yard TD run, but there’s a flag on the play”….or….. “sorry, we are out of beer.” Although we understand the reasoning behind it, fantasy owners F___ hate RBBC. The days of a lone running back getting the rock 30 times in a game, are sadly over.

There is no question, that the RB position has been de-valued. Moreover, the position of the running back has changed over the past few years, a lot more than just splitting carries! To utilize a player’s specialties, teams are bringing in different running backs during the game, on specific offensive plays being called. The more F____ plays are being called that bring in “specialty backs”, the more it subtracts from the scoring opportunities that your drafted RB is going to have. ( This is usually when the “swear jar” gets contributed to)

Here is a list of “specialty back” titles, and the list seems to grow every F_____ year.)

• Change of pace running back
• Blocking back
• Goal line back
• Receiving running back
• 3rd down back
• Short yardage back
• Running back for the Wild Cat formation

Fantasy owners in 2014 found out however, that championship fantasy teams still need strong RBs to win. In my article “Who Were The Most Owned Players On Fantasy Rosters in 2014?”, 8 of the top 20 players to truly help fantasy owners win championships in 2014 were RBs. Last year you could pretty much count on Dallas, Green Bay, Chicago, K.C., Seattle, Pittsburgh, Denver, Houston (and to some extent Baltimore) to primarily run with one running back. It’s likely that whoever won your fantasy league last year, they had one or two of the running backs from these teams. If you didn’t have one of them, you likely had F____ trouble scoring 2 RBs week after week. (Which also meant more contributions to the “swear jar”.) Perhaps this article makes a strong case for taking 2 RBs in the first 2 rounds of your fantasy draft this September, especially if they both can come from the teams just mentioned?

2RBsOrNot2RBs

This year I am excited about 4 other teams and their running back situation. I love me some RB Frank Gore in Indianapolis, love me some rookie RB Melvin Gordon in San Diego, love me some RB LeGarrette Blount in NE, and WASH OL Bill Callahan says RB Alfred Morris is a good fit for his run game and I believe him ( In ’14 Callahan was the Dallas OC and line coach..i.e..RB Murray! )

( I am not excited about ARI RB Andre Ellington. I also throw caution to fantasy owners about rookie RB TJ Yeldon, CAR RB Jonathan Stewart and RB Latavius Murray…. although Murray is pretty F___ intriguing).

When drafting in September, I understand wanting to get elite WRs early, but the NFL WR corps is deeper than ever.
Especially in large leagues, do not ignore getting strong #1 RBs………the de-valued RB position is valued again.

OK….let’s see…paying the swear jar. One, two, three, four, five…..I owe five bucks.