1st and 10 Week 27

1st and 10 Week 27 by Utter-Fantasy Football Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

 

UPDATE: With the publication of this article…Utter-Fantasy is taking a short sabbatical from “1ST and 10″ in order to provide fantasy football owners the best weekly information during the regular season.

 

“1st and 10″ is a weekly segment by Utter-Fantasy.com, getting fantasy football insights from knowledgeable people in our fantastic fantasy football community. With 10 questions each week, we will canvass some of the hot button topics to keep us all informed on the ever-changing NFL landscape and which ones might carry major fantasy football implications.

Every Monday, at approximately 12:00 Noon, I will post the latest segment of “1st & 10.”  If you enjoy it, let us know. If you have any fantasy football questions, really let us know.

 

1st and 10 Week 27-  Sept 19th, 2016

1st and 10 Week 27 -Special Guest: Senior Fantasy Football Writer at EndZonescore.com and writer at Gridiron Experts…Mitchell Renz

Special thanks to Mitchell Renz – Be sure to follow him on Twitter @MitchellRenz365

 

NOTE: All 1st and 10 Week 27 questions were asked of Mitchell Renz prior to the start of Week 1 off the NFL regular season.

 

Utter-Fantasy #1) The Chargers fell apart in 2015, after losing WR Keenan Allen for the season, injured in Week 8. Coincidentally, the Chargers fell apart in the 2nd half of Week 1 after losing WR Keenan Allen for the season at the end of the 2nd quarter. In a division that could be won by any of the 4 teams, how bad is this season now looking for San Diego, without this one receiver?

@mitchellrenz365) There is no doubt it is a huge loss, not sure anyone was higher on Keenan Allen than I was this offseason. The Chargers do have more depth this season at wide receiver with Travis Benjamin, and Tyrell Williams to pick up the slack now. Even with Allen, I didn’t think the Chargers would win the division because of their defense but now without him, I would say it’s almost impossible.

 

Utter-Fantasy #2) Based only on what you have seen from the preseason and from Week 1 of the regular season, give me a bold prediction of who will win the 2016 Super Bowl and why you think now that they will.

@mitchellrenz365)  Before the season started I would have said Arizona Cardinals, so I am going to say the team that just beat them, The New England Patriots. The Patriots marched into Arizona without Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski and controlled the game from the opening kick.

 

Utter-Fantasy #3) A better offense vs a better defense! Both the Saints and the Browns went winless in the 2016 preseason, and after Week 1 of the this regular NFL season, both are still winless. Who ends up with the better record at the end of 2016 and why?

@mitchellrenz365) The Saints will easily.  They have QB Drew Brees and one of the league’s best offenses, yes their defense is horrible but so is the Browns defense.  The Browns are currently the worst team in the NFL and I don’t really think its close.

 

Utter-Fantasy #4) I already have some early round regrets from a couple of my fantasy football drafts. For example, I think I am going to end regretting selecting ATL RB Devonta Freeman over DEN RB CJ Anderson, when it’s all said and done. Do you already have a few fantasy football draft regrets?

@mitchellrenz365) Well I am sorry you drafted Freeman, he was my number one bust this season and you couldn’t have paid me to draft him especially over Anderson who I have on all of my teams this season.  I have a lot of Philip River stock and with the loss of Keenan Allen, that has hurt me but it’s still early to have regrets.

 

Utter-Fantasy #5) Do you think the following players were “undervalued” by the team that they departed from? QB Brock Osweiler, RB Lamar Miller, CB Josh Norman, WR Chris Hogan, and WR Travis Benjamin?

@mitchellrenz365) Personally I don’t think Brock Osweiler is any good and stats have shown that. He went 5-2 on the Broncos because their defense was really good. He has so many weapons surrounding him currently and still struggled against the Bears in week one. Love me some Lamar Miller, hard man crush on that guy.  My number one running back this season. Norman is the most overrated corner in the game, dude had one good season in his entire career because he played on an elite defense.  All reports out of camp are he is getting torched and ask the Giants players how they feel about him not going against Antonio Brown. Hogan is one of my sleepers I wrote about for Gridiron Experts (subscribers only).  I will say he is in the 99 percentile according to SPARQ scores when looking at athletes. Travis Benjamin finished as a top 30 receiver last season with just a circus of quarterbacks, now he is in a position to be the leading receiver in a pass happy offense.

 

Utter-Fantasy #6) How do you see the Indianapolis Colts receiving corps ( WRs and TEs) pecking order…..currently and out several games?

@mitchellrenz365) I see it as Hilton, Moncrief, Dorsett, Allen.  In the Red-Zone Any tight end, Moncrief, Dorsett, Gore, The Kicker and then Hilton. (maybe exaggerating a little there) But Hilton has only three touchdowns his last 20 regular season games.

 

Utter-Fantasy #7) Name a couple free agents that were signed by their current NFL teams that you think will turn out to be some of the best and some of the worst signings?

@mitchellrenz365) I guess I will start with the fact that Jeff Fisher received a three-year contract extension was surprising, to say the least. I will start on the offensive side of the ball.  I think the Texans will regret paying a quarterback with no track record the amount of money they did. I liked how the Broncos resigned CJ Anderson after the Dolphins tried to sign him.  The Josh Norman deal was just a way for Washington to make headlines.

 

Utter-Fantasy #8) NO WR Willie Snead was a hot waiver wire pick up after his Week 1 success. Who else were targeting for your fantasy football teams off the waiver wire, or who were your top recommendations?

@mitchellrenz365) I will say check my Waiver Wire Article here.

 

Utter-Fantasy #9) One of the most frequently asked questions that I have gotten over the past 10 days is what to make of the Chiefs backfield. We know it’s currently the RB Spencer Ware show, but how do you see shaking out for the “entire season”?

@mitchellrenz365) Once Charles comes back I expect him to handle 60 percent of the workload but he will lose touchdown opportunities to Spencer Ware. Charles doesn’t need to have a ton of touches to be successful, in fact, he has the highest yards per carry among running backs in the history of the NFL with 5.5 YPC.

 

Utter-Fantasy #10) Of the NFL teams that lost in Week 1, one has to think that the Colts thought they would be 1-0…facing the under-achieving Lions at home in Indy. Which of these statements are true, if any? 1) QB Andrew Luck isn’t as good as everyone thought. 2) The Colts coaching staff will prevent this team from winning their division. 3) The Colts defense stinks. 4) One week lost doesn’t mean much.

@mitchellrenz365: For me 3, and 4 are true.  I think Andrew Luck is an incredible talent.  But the guy can’t do it all himself.   Let’s pump the breaks one game into the season and we shouldn’t forget the Lions were 6-2 after the bye with Jim Bob Cooter as their OC. The biggest issue for the Colts minus their defense is their offensive line.  Worst in the league, Luck has no time to throw and just takes a beating.

 

1ST AND 10 WEEK 26 WITH THE NFL EXPORTER LANCE GOODMAN
1ST AND 10 WEEK 25 WITH THE 5TH DOWN FFS JOHNNY SLOKES
1ST AND 10 WEEK 24 WITH FANTASYIPA JONATHON BRAY
1ST AND 10 WEEK 23 WITH LWOS’ MIKE RANDLE
 1ST AND 10 WEEK 22 WITH THE FFCOUCHCOACH
1ST AND 10 WEEK 21 WITH THE FANTASY FOOTBALL GEEK
1st AND 10 WEEK 20 WITH DFF’s MICHAEL HUGHES
1ST AND 10 WEEK 19 WITH FANTAYIPA’s ARTHUR RICHARDSON
1ST AND 10 WEEK 18 WITH QUESTFFL’s MATT DOUGHERTY
1ST AND 10 Week 17 WITH TFA’S JENNIFER SMITH
1ST AND 10 WEEK 16 WITH RTFANTASYSPORTS
1st AND 10 Week 15 with Eric dewalt
1st AND 10 Week 14 With Jamie Black
1ST AND 10 WEEK 13 WITH DFF’s MICHAEL HUGHES

1st and 10 Week 26

1st and 10 Week 26 by Utter-Fantasy Football Writer & Illustrator Doug Bowles

“1st and 10″ is a weekly segment by Utter-Fantasy.com, getting fantasy football insights from knowledgeable people in our fantastic fantasy football community. With 10 questions each week, we will canvass some of the hot button topics to keep us all informed on the ever-changing NFL landscape and which ones might carry major fantasy football implications.

Every Monday, at approximately 12:00 Noon, I will post the latest segment of “1st & 10.”  If you enjoy it, let us know. If you have any fantasy football questions, really let us know.

 

1st and 10 Week 26-  Sept 12th, 2016

1st and 10 Week 26 -Special Guest Writer: the NFLExporter Lance Goodman

Special thanks to Lance Goodman – Be sure to follow him on Twitter @NFLExporter

and please visit the NFLExporter.com website often!

 

NOTE: All 1st and 10 Week 26 questions were asked of the NFLExporter prior to the start of Week 1 off the NFL regular season.

 

Utter-Fantasy #1) The Tennessee Titan’s receiver corps is now an interesting one, since the release of WR Justin Hunter. This situation is difficult to judge, but the competition is for the No. 1 job, if we don’t already consider TE Delanie Walker as the No. 1. Fifth-rounder WR Tajae Sharpe has made all the headlines with spectacular play, but WR Rishard Matthews may still a better receiver and will still open as a starter in two-wide sets. After TE Walker, who would you prefer to own, rookie Sharpe of Matthews?

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: With the way that Tennessee is looking to be a physical run first team, I don’t see either having much value to be a weekly play. It will depend on the match up and if it’s a game in which Tennessee is playing a high powered offense like Green Bay that may force them to pass more than what they want. At that point it seems like Sharpe has a little more value because of his ability to go deep. Matthews is more of a possession type wide receiver. Owners can expect an even split right now between Sharpe and Matthews because both are new on the team and developing chemistry with QB Marcus Mariota. I don’t see either getting more than 6-7 targets per game and that doesn’t merit real value.

 

Utter-Fantasy #2) DAL rookie QB Dak Prescott has really impressed in the preseason. The Cowboys may not be in as bad a shape as expected after the DAL QB Tony Romo injury. That being said, did you lower WR Dez Bryant in your wide receiver ranking and did fantasy football owners make a mistake drafting him at #9 ADP for wide outs in their drafts?

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: With Rookie QB Dak Prescott starting in place of Tony Romo, I didn’t lower Dez Bryant,s ranking at all. Prescott connected with Bryant on 2 TD passes in Preseason. One was a back shoulder throw in tight coverage to show he has confidence in Bryant’s abilities. I noticed that Prescott did a great job of spreading the ball around to his receiving corps in the Preseason however, but he knows that Bryant must be fed. Until Prescott gets the chemistry that Romo and Bryant had, the thing that may change is the quality and volume of Bryant’s targets. 

 

Utter-Fantasy #3) Give me your thoughts on the QB Sam Bradford trade to Minnesota. (i.e his impact on the Vikings offense and if you think Carson Wentz is ready be a starting quarterback in the NFL?)

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: Sam Bradford going to Minnesota was a move of desperation and panic. Teddy Bridgewater only threw 14 TDs last yr and Minnesota had success, so a winning formula was already in place. Bradford is an upgrade but still relatively an unknown. He hasn’t done anything meaningful in his career and has been hurt half the time. As for Wentz being a starter to be honest, I haven’t seen a big enough body of work. He was hurt all Preseason. The defenses in the NFC East are suspect so he should be able to hold his own. His success will depend on what defenses are thrown at him and how well he can work within Doug Pederson’s system. A good running game will also help his progression. If Philly is ready to give him the keys this early, they have some type of confidence in him. Also, like any rookie, decision making and turnovers will impact his play as well.

 

Utter-Fantasy #4) Were you surprised that MIA RB Arian Foster beat out the younger RB Jay Ajayi for the starting job? ( Foster is officially listed as the No. 1 running back on the Dolphins’ depth chart )

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: No I’m not surprised that Arian Foster beat out Jay Ajayi to become the starter in Miami. Ajayi is still a young player who may not be ready to be an every down back. In the NFL, pass protection is so important at the RB position and catching passes out of the backfield. Foster is more seasoned at both. Plus it allows Ajayi another year to grow and he will still get time behind Foster. But it was a lot to ask of Ajayi to completely take over Dolphins backfield in only his 2nd year. Miami is hoping to get the last of what Foster has left. ( Update: Foster started in Week 1, and Ajayi didn’t make the trip to Seattle after losing his starting job to Arian Foster. )

 

Utter-Fantasy #5) The NFLExporter loves running back questions, so here is one I was asked on Twitter, and Utter-Fantasy would like to know what your response is…”Should I drop Gio or Matt Jones for Gore in a Standard league format?”

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: Gio Bernard would be the guy to drop for Gore. I like Bernard and he has value but he’s in a committee. As for Jones, he is “supposed” to be the work horse on the ground, which translates to assured weekly touches and he also is the goal line back, unlike Bernard. Jones has struggled early with injuries and holding onto the ball but Washington has a solid offensive line and good passing attack, so Jones should be able to get 75+ yards and some opportunities inside the 10 on a weekly basis…and that’s the plan for Gore. A solid 17 carries for 80 yards and TD opportunities weekly because the Colts offense can move the ball. So Bernard is the one that yields less value. Keep in mind that Gio’s an excellent handcuff if Jeremy Hill were to miss anytime.

 

Utter-Fantasy #6) Are you a fan of the NFL games played on Thursday Nights? (as a commissioner of many leagues, just weekly waiver moves can make Thursday games a difficult situation)

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: No I don’t like Thursday night games. Its just another way for the NFL to make money. It allows them more advertising and sponsorship opportunities. The games usually are slow and lack the usual energy of a Sunday. Additionally, the games are all division games, so the teams are very familiar with each other so it can lack the entertainment value.

 

Utter-Fantasy #7) I am sure that like most of us, you were involved in plenty of fun fantasy football drafts, prior to and over the Labor Day weekend. There were many players that I was targeting for my fantasy teams in 2016, and many of my teams have players in common, such as SD Travis Benjamin, CINN  Jeremy Hill and NYJ WR Eric Decker. Who are some players that are common threads throughout your fantasy football rosters?

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: Some players that were drafted on multiple fantasy teams of mine are Chicago RB Jeremy Langford, Jags WR Allen Hurns, Jets WR Eric Decker, Raiders QB Derek Carr. All of those players end up my roster because they hold excellent value based on the round I draft them in and the need I have to fill at the time

 

Utter-Fantasy #8) What is your preferred fantasy football league format?

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: Preferred format is standard with position bonuses for 300 yard passers, 100 yard rushers and receiving yards etc. I like this format because its a great mix of old school traditional fantasy and the player bonuses provide extra fun and excitement.

 

Utter-Fantasy #9) Sustainability may be one of the toughest things to achieve for any NFL player, yet PITT WR Antonio Brown has done it for 3 years in a row. Barring an injury, how shocked would you be if Brown ended 2016 as the #12 wide receiver, out of the top 10?

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: I’d be completely shocked if Antonio Brown is not in the top 10 fantasy WRs. He gets too many targets, has great trust and chemistry with QB Ben Roethlisberger and has great work ethic. His team also depends on him. With his skill level and talent, he’s in a great position to succeed yearly until he slows down.

 

Utter-Fantasy #10)  Of these 8 NFL players that fantasy football owners have some real and legitimate concerns with, which ones concern you the most over the course of the 2016 NFL season and why?

1) SEA Thomas Rawls

2) BUFF WR Sammy Watkins

3) DAL WR Dez Bryant

$) IND Andrew Luck

5) KC RB Jamaal Charles

6) CHI WR Alshon Jeffrey

7) GB Jordy Nelson

8) DET RB Ameer Abdullah

the NFLExporter Lance Goodman: Its Ameer Abdullah. Fellow Lions RB Theo Riddick looks like a better player and gets equal playing time. Abdullah struggled with ball security last year and if it becomes a problem early, the Lions will have a short leash on him. He also has been a bit inconsistent running between the tackles. Abdullah is a young player. People get so caught up on his blinding speed and great elusiveness that he gets expectations that he can’t meet because he has to learn the fundamentals and mature as a player. So in terms of fantasy, he’s not consistent thus far and that makes it hard for owners to trust and play him. The moment that Abdullah has a big game, there’s so much hype and hope but when he tanks for the next 2-3 games, owners write him off. In order to be successful in the NFL and life in general, you have to be consistent and he’s not able to do that right now. 

( Update: BUFF WR Sammy Watkins (foot) “could be shut down for several weeks” because of “severe discomfort” in his surgically-repaired foot.)

 

Next Week’s Special Guest….the Senior Fantasy Football Writer at EndZonescore.com and writer at Gridiron Experts…Mitchell Renz

 

1ST AND 10 WEEK 25 WITH THE 5TH DOWN FFS JOHNNY SLOKES
1ST AND 10 WEEK 24 WITH FANTASYIPA JONATHON BRAY
1ST AND 10 WEEK 23 WITH LWOS’ MIKE RANDLE
 1ST AND 10 WEEK 22 WITH THE FFCOUCHCOACH
1ST AND 10 WEEK 21 WITH THE FANTASY FOOTBALL GEEK
1st AND 10 WEEK 20 WITH DFF’s MICHAEL HUGHES
1ST AND 10 WEEK 19 WITH FANTAYIPA’s ARTHUR RICHARDSON
1ST AND 10 WEEK 18 WITH QUESTFFL’s MATT DOUGHERTY
1ST AND 10 Week 17 WITH TFA’S JENNIFER SMITH
1ST AND 10 WEEK 16 WITH RTFANTASYSPORTS
1st AND 10 Week 15 with Eric dewalt
1st AND 10 Week 14 With Jamie Black
1ST AND 10 WEEK 13 WITH DFF’s MICHAEL HUGHES